Despite Bitcoin’s Key Technical Correction, The 100 SMA Can Trigger A Fresh Rally

Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $ 10,500 area against the US Dollar. BTC declined below $ 10,200, but it is still holding the key 100 hourly SMA.

  • Bitcoin price failed to climb above $ 10,500 and corrected lower against the US Dollar.
  • There was a sharp dip below the $ 10,200 level before the bulls protected the 100 hourly SMA.
  • There is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near $ 10,290 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could either rally again above $ 10,300 or it might extend its decline below the $ 10,100 support.

Bitcoin Holding Key Support

Recently, bitcoin made another attempt to climb above the $ 10,500 resistance area against the US Dollar. However, BTC price failed to continue higher and formed a short term top near $ 10,519.

Later, there was a downside correction below the $ 10,400 level. Moreover, yesterday’s ascending channel with support near $ 10,360 was breached on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price

Bitcoin Price

It opened the doors for more losses and the price spiked below the $ 10,200 support. It traded close to the $ 10,000 level, but the 100 hourly simple moving average acted as a strong buy zone.

A swing low is formed near the $ 10,057 and the price is currently consolidating in a range. Bitcoin recovered above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $ 10,519 high to $ 10,057 low.

More importantly, there is a key contracting triangle forming with resistance near $ 10,290 on the same chart. On the downside, the triangle support is near the $ 10,180 level.

The main support on the downside is near the $ 10,100 level, below which the price could continue to move down. In the mentioned case, the price is likely to revisit the $ 9,890 support area in the near term.

Fresh Rally?

On the upside, the triangle resistance is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent drop from the $ 10,519 high to $ 10,057 low.

Therefore, an upside break above the $ 10,300 level might accelerate gains in bitcoin in the coming sessions. Having said that, the bulls need to push the price above the $ 10,325 level to revisit the $ 10,500 resistance.

Finally, a convincing break above the $ 10,500 level is likely to set the momentum for a run towards the $ 11,000 level.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is slowly moving into the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is currently struggling to stay above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $ 10,200 followed by $ 10,100.

Major Resistance Levels – $ 10,300, $ 10,400 and $ 10,500.

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Bitcoin – NewsBTC

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